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Friday, May 24, 2013

Friday New Highs

There were 121 new highs today, here is the list.

These are the top 10 industries in percentage of stocks making new highs:
Name Stocks NH Pct
Farm Products 16 3 18.75
Department Stores 11 2 18.18
Beverages - Wineries & Distillers 6 1 16.67
Cleaning Products 6 1 16.67
Major Airlines 6 1 16.67
Publishing - Periodicals 6 1 16.67
Grocery Stores 19 3 15.79
Drug Delivery 13 2 15.38
Food Wholesale 7 1 14.29
Home Furnishing Stores 7 1 14.29
Housewares & Accessories 7 1 14.29
Lumber, Wood Production 7 1 14.29
Personal Services 14 2 14.29
Specialized Health Services 14 2 14.29

These are the high volume advancers and decliners from the relative strength list.
Advancers


Decliners

Ticker Relative Volume Change
Ticker Relative Volume Change
CSIQ 2.63 5.05%
WCRX 1.75 -0.20%
TSLA 2.82 4.69%
P 5.45 -4.25%
WWAV 5.72 4.10%
AMBA 1.5 -4.32%
WFR 1.94 3.33%
MNKD 2.22 -4.38%
YY 1.87 2.40%



BMC 2.92 0.66%



RH 1.53 0.13%

I will have complete earnings summary this weekend, and the price relative scan on Sunday. I am planning an extended post on the price relative scan on Monday, but am not sure I will be able to yet.

Friday Weekly Charts

Sometimes I wish there was something besides pivot points to talk about on Fridays, but it os pretty obvious that the story of the day is just that. For the 3rd time this year, the monthly R2 pivot point did not stop the advance of the market (in fact, this month it didn'e even slow it down), but now it appears to be support. That means, with 4 days left in the month, we are probably unlikely to go below R2, and even if we do, there is another pivot point right below it. Chances are we will start bouncing up from here.


Change the monthly pivots to the yearly pivots, and we have nearly the identical situation on the weekly chart. While it is unwise to assume hat R2 will be support all year, for the time being it sure looks like it will be. One thing of note is that the high was nearly exactly equal distance above R2 as R1 is below R2. The may be coincidence, but then again, it may not be.

The Nasdaq cam up to hit the R2 pivot dead on, and then started to drop. I do not believe that is coincidence. First line of support is the 10 week average, but R1 is right below that, but I;m not too sure we need to worry about support just yet.

The Dow industrials paused at R2, then marched right up to the point equally above R2 as R1 is below R2, but passed it slightly, and is actually just a hair above it now. At some point we may get a pretty good idea just where resistance will be on those rare occasions that the annual R2 is broken: we may be finding that point about now.

The Dow transports have had me baffled all year, and this week is not exception. It looks like it has found next resistance, just about where I would suspect it to be. What happens now I won't even try to guess.

Even the Russell 2000 has broken R2, which now makes it support. I suspect, at least for now, that that support will hold and we will begin another move up, which may begin as early as next week.

The market is behaving sort of the way I would expect it to, but this year has been very strange, and boundaries that the market normally respects are being ignored. The market is overdue for a sizable correction, but I don;t think we are going to get it quite yet.

I will have the new highs update shortly.

Market Leader Performance

Ticker Performance (Week) Relative Volume Change
BYI 6.50% 0.82 0.48%
STX 5.91% 0.44 -0.53%
TOL 4.07% 0.96 -2.47%
PNRA 2.78% 0.51 0.14%
WLK 1.91% 0.39 -0.65%
CSTE 1.33% 1.34 1.28%
KORS 0.91% 0.56 -0.17%
NUS 0.39% 0.53 -0.60%
MELI -0.07% 0.58 -2.11%
HCI -0.12% 0.37 -1.16%
LYB -0.42% 0.51 -0.23%
LULU -1.01% 0.29 -0.27%
UTHR -1.27% 0.86 -3.03%
FOSL -1.64% 0.45 -0.90%
LL -1.68% 0.41 0.12%
PRLB -1.86% 0.35 -1.26%
SODA -2.62% 0.48 -1.16%
STMP -4.26% 0.35 0.23%
CYOU -5.01% 0.4 0.69%
GMCR -8.26% 1.37 -2.25%

Here is he performance for the leadership list for the last 5 days, nit including today, along with today's relative volume and change.

Early Industry Leaders


Name Stocks NH Pct
Major Airlines 6 1 16.67
Home Furnishing Stores 7 1 14.29
Meat Products 9 1 11.11
Publishing - Newspapers 9 1 11.11
Broadcasting - Radio 11 1 9.09
Department Stores 11 1 9.09
Water Utilities 12 1 8.33
Drug Delivery 13 1 7.69
Apparel Stores 41 3 7.32
Personal Services 14 1 7.14
Catalog & Mail Order Houses 15 1 6.67
Pollution & Treatment Controls 15 1 6.67
Farm Products 16 1 6.25
Grocery Stores 19 1 5.26
Oil & Gas Pipelines 38 2 5.26
Personal Products 19 1 5.26
Technical Services 22 1 4.55
Drug Manufacturers - Major 45 2 4.44
Resorts & Casinos 23 1 4.35
Waste Management 24 1 4.17

Here are the early industry leaders in percentage of stocks making new highs.

Market Watch Game Update

Here is the Market Watch Game update for this week. This has been a very frustrating week: on Monday and Tuesday I had made quite a bit but in both cases the gains were wiped out by collapses in one stock. On Monday it was POWR, which had been giving me warning but I still waited to long to dump it. On Tuesday it was ALK, which gave no warning. Since then I have been wildly fluctuating, but I did expect that, and I am using the drops to add.

Ticker Price Shares Buy Date Position Sell Price Sell Date Gain Percent
CSU 25.77 200 05/02/13 5154 25.9
26 0.50%
VRTS 203.04 25 05/03/13 5076 235 05/22/13 799 15.74%
PKY 18.84 300 05/07/13 5652 17.93
-273 -4.83%
ALK 66.87 75 05/08/13 5015.25 59.92 05/21/13 -521.25 -10.39%
CSU 26.03 200 05/08/13 5206 25.9
-26 -0.50%
PKY 19.03 300 05/08/13 5709 17.92
-333 -5.83%
POWR 14.67 350 05/09/13 5134.5 13.42 05/20/13 -437.5 -8.52%
YHOO 26.24 200 05/09/13 5248 26
-48 -0.91%
PKG 49.42 100 05/09/13 4942 49.13
-29 -0.59%
FLT 84.1 60 05/14/13 5046 81.39
-162.6 -3.22%
ALK 67 75 05/15/13 5025 58.92 05/21/13 -606 -12.06%
EXP 74.14 75 05/15/13 5560.5 73.71
-32.25 -0.58%
YHOO 27.01 200 05/16/13 5402 25.99
-204 -3.78%
ADUS 15.01 350 05/16/13 5253.5 15.72
248.5 4.73%
EXP 76.43 75 05/20/13 5732.25 73.71
-204 -3.56%
GPOR 49.95 100 05/20/13 4995 47.17
-278 -5.57%
PKG 50.21 100 05/21/13 5021 49.1
-111 -2.21%
STRZA 22.86 225 05/21/13 5143.5 22.48
-85.5 -1.66%
EFII 26.5 100 05/22/13 2650 26.63
13 0.49%
EFII 26.55 100 05/23/13 2655 26.63
8 0.30%
ADUS 15.46 350 05/23/13 5411 15.72
91 1.68%
STRZA 22.68 225 05/23/13 5103 22.48
-45 -0.88%

Here are the completed trades and open positions. I now am almost fully loaded up, and am going to be concentrating on adding to existing positions. If this is a short pullback, I am in very good position: if this goes into a correction, i am going to be in a lot of trouble. So far, so good, but I am still not anywhere near even with the market, so I need to start getting into gear.

Today's Buy Candidates

MGA is the buy candidate from last night's price relaive scan, the others are the high scoring 20 day breakouts. We have barely begun a move down and the setups are already looking a lot better.

Today's Pivot Points

Floor
Woodie's
Camarilla
Demark
R3 1678.8 R2 1667.98 R4 1661.49 High 1662.99
R2 1667.15 R1 1660.5 R3 1656 Low 1643.02
R1 1658.83 P 1648.01 R2 1654.17

P 1647.18 S1 1640.53 R1 1652.34

S1 1638.86 S2 1628.04 S1 1648.68

S2 1627.21

S2 1646.85

S3 1618.89

S3 1645.02





S4 1639.53

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