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Sunday, June 9, 2013

Earnings Growth Charts

 This week I have 5 charts from this week, and 3 others from earlier in the quarter. I now have reports from all but a handful of the stocks on the earnings list, so the quarterly update will get started a little early. On the graphs, in the top panel the red line is quarterly EPS growth rate, black is quarterly revenue growth rate. In the middle the red line is quarterly EPS, green is quarterly revenue, black is price, and blue price relative to SPX. If the stock is reporting the end of a fiscal year, the large red bars are annual EPS. At the bottom the black bars are volume.

 BOFI reported May 9, and had a non-reaction to earnings after a very large run which turned it into a market leader. This graph is taken from that date: about two weeks later, it began another near vertical run, which is currently in a pullback. This has been in a pretty steady up trend in EPS and revenue for the last 5 years, but it has been only recently that this has become a market leader, and I suspect it will be a leader for some time to come.
CVGW reported a negative growth quarter last week, and overall is in a decelerating trend in EPS, but revenue is still in a strong up trend, and that seems to be what price is responding to.  It did have a negative response to this quarter, so this is probably going into yet another pullback.

CYBX also reported last week, with decelerating growth. There is a very big discrepancy between EPS and revenue, and with the missing price history, it's hard to tell which it is following. It is still going to take a few more quarters before we get a really good picture of what is going on here.

DECK is a former high flyer that gas fallen on hard times. This is probably the last time we will see this chart as it is highly unlikely to make the next cut. Eventually this may turn things around and become a leader again, but that is months, if not years away, and in the meantime there are plenty of other opportunities.
JOSB has also fallen on hard times, and while it is not a cinch to get cut this quarter, it is going to be close: about the only thing that can save it is a lack of good candidates. 

RRTS reported in early May, and this chart doesn't show the run it has has since then. About the only thing keeping this from being a leading stock is a lack of volume: that will probably change pretty soon.

TITN reported another  negative quarter this quarter, and price wise, may be on the verge of a collapse. This is not in imminent danger of being removed from the list, but will be in another quarter or two if it doesn't turn around.

UHAL was the one stock reporting accelerating growth this week. It is also a new addition to the list, and is in a very strong up trend, with very strong annual growth. This is currently in a short term base, whcih it tried to break out of on the earnings report but failed. It could, however, break out at any time and is likely to make another pretty big move up.

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