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Sunday, July 21, 2013

Earnings Growth Charts

I have 8 stocks from the earning list reporting, so I have 8 graphs today. On the graphs, in the top panel th red line is quarterly EPS growth rate, black is quarterly revenue growth rate. In the middle, the red line is quarterly EPS, the green is quarterly revenue, black is price, and blue price relative to SPX. None of these reported the end of a fiscal year, so I did not include annual EPS. At the bottom he black bars are volume.

ACTG had a spurt of high growth for a little over a year starting abou 3 years ago. but growth seems tobe reverting to where it was before the burst of high growth, and so is price. It is possible this is a very deep base before another round of growth, but at this point that looks pretty doubtful.

DIT has been steadily dropping in EPS, but revenue is still growing slightly, and price seems to be following revenue.  This still trades by appointment only, so if you are determined o trade this one, I would stick to small positions with long term (3 months or longer) hold times.

 IGTE had a big increase in revenue about a year ago due to an acquisition, but take that out and growth has been slow but steady. This has been in an over 2 year consolidation after a big move in 2009-2010, but responded well to this report and may be ready to break out an star another growth cycle.

ISRG is nearly the opposite: after 5 years of steady growth, EPS and revenue have taken a dive this quarter, and this may be done as a growth stock, at least for a while.

NTCT has some pretty wild ups and downs both in earnings and in price, but the overall trend for both is up.  This appears to be ready to try to break out of a very long and very deep base; the odds of success are probably pretty low.
RBCAA caught my eye about 3 quarters ago due to a big quarter in EPS growth, but so far that appears to have been a one hit wonder. Price really hasn't gone anywhere in 5 years, and revenue has suffered a big slowdown in recent quarters, so this one may not be long lived on the list. You can't in them all.

UTEK has has a very good 5 year up trend in EPS and revenue, but suffered a big collapse this quarter. I expect price will follow, so this one may be in for a big drop.

VMI is one of the few bright spots in an otherwise so far dismal quarter for earnings. This has had consistent 5 year growth, and is beginning to accelerate again. It is in a small double bottom base, which it will probably break out of soon, and should be set for a pretty decent move up. 

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