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Sunday, September 22, 2013

Earnings Growth Charts

 I have no stocks from the earnings list reporting last week, so this is a good chance to catch up on some charts I did not get to post earlier. On the graphs, in the top panel the red line is quarterly EPS growth rate, the black line is quarterly revenue growth rate. In the middle the red line is quarterly EPS, the green is quarterly revenue, black is price, and blue price relative to SPX. None of these reported the end of a fiscal year, so I did not include annual EPS. At the bottom the black bars are volume.

This is the correction of the AEPI chart I posted last week. Two quarters ago this posted a huge increase in EPS, which came after it's big run in price, but has since had two very low growth quarters, in which it went into a base. It did try to breakout on this report, but has since pulled back in.

 ATRO reported in early August, and this chart is up to date as of then. It reported a quarter of negaive growth, and did pull in for about a month, but has since resumed the strong up trend it was in, which isn't as vertical as it looks on a linear chart, but still looks pretty strong.

CACC reported decelerating growth in late July. It had been in a strong up trend  in price, EPS, and revenue, but since then has been on a base. This one is one to watch as the trend is intact, and when it resumes could lead to some pretty good gains. This one trades on vapors, but that will change once it gets Wall Street's attention.
CFNL was in a base when it reported in early August, and since then has completed the right side of the base, and tried to break out earlier this month, but failed. The has had a big drop in both EPS and revenue in the last two quarters, and I would wait until it's next report to see if it can get out of that trend; otherwise, this could be in danger of breaking down.

CRVL reported decelerating growth in late July, but that came after a quarter of very high growth, and a large move in price. Since then it spent most of August in a vertical move, and has since been in a very small, mild base. This has been rather inconsistent in EPS growth in the last 5 years, and could just as easily break down as break out on it's next report, but a breakout could lead to another big move.

DIN has had virtually no EPS growth for about two years now, but for some reason had a very big move in 2012. It has spent most of this year moving sideways, and is not likely to go anywhere if the current trend in EPS continues. However, resumed growth will probably lead to a pretty substantial breakout. This revenue data really looks weird: I have been trying to find out what is going on there, but so far come up with nothing.

DORM reported in late July, during which i was in a strong up trend (again, not as strong as it looks on a liner chart). The report resulted in a small breakout move, followed by a consolidation which it is still in, so the market is waiting to see what this does next.
HWKN has had little revenue growth and almost no EPS growth for about 4 years, and has spent the last 3 years in a long base. It reported in late July, again with little growth, but revenue is starting to rise again, which means we might see some EPS growth here. A breakout from this base might lead to a pretty huge move, but we don;t appear to be anywhere near there yet. 

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