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Sunday, October 20, 2013

Earnings Growth Charts

 I have 6 stocks from the earnings list reporting last week, so I have 6 graphs. Next week I will be buried in reports so he vacation I had had is over. On the graphs, in the top panel the red line is quarterly EPS growth rate, black is quarterly revenue growth rate. In the middle the red line is quarterly EPS, the green is quarterly revenue, the black is price, and the blue is price relative to SPX. None of these repored the end of a fiscal year so I did not include annual EPS. At the bottom the black bars are volume.

ACTG is up first. This is actually a fairly recent addition to the list; since being added it has steadily dropped in EPS, revenue, and price. Good call.

ISRG also appears to have begun a period of dropping EPS and revenue. This could be a long and deep base, but it could also be the end of this as a growth stock: it will probably be a couple of quarters before we know.

NTCT has a mild up trend in EPS, but a pretty strong up trend in revenue, and has just broken out to a 5 year high. I's not getting enough volume yet to be a leading stock, but I suspect it will in the future.

RBCAA has had a recent big drop in both EPS and revenue, but that has not been reflected in price, which is near it's 5 year high.  Unless EPS growth picks up again, I don't think price will remain that high for long.

UTEK has has a very nasty plunge in EPS and revenue, and price is in the midst of a drop that could take it all he way back to where it started in 2009. I don't know the reason for the sudden drop, but this looks like damaged goods, and isn't likely to recover for at least a year.

Even VMI is now experiencing a drop in EPS and revenue, but so far, it isn't as bad as some of the others, and in price, this appears to be forming a base. Unfortuantely, this may be the best chart of the bunch today, and if this is any indication of how this quarter is going to go, we are in for a long 3 months.

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