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Sunday, October 27, 2013

Earnings Growth Charts

 I have 17 stocks on the earnings list reporting this week, 9 of which reported accelerating growth, so I graphed those 9 first. I should have plenty of slack time later this quarter, so I will post the others later. On the graphs, in the top panel the red line is quarterly EPS growth rate, black is quarterly revenue growth rate. In the middle, the red line is quarterly EPS, green is quarterly revenue, black is price, and blue is price relative to SPX. None of these reported the end of a fiscal year, so I did not include annual EPS. At the bottom the black bars are volume.

ALGT has had low 5 year EPS growth, but revenue growth has been quite good. This is is an up trend that began in early 2012, but really picked up steam in November of last year. This is a linear chart, so the move looks steeper than it actually is, but it is still an impressive move. This is now in the midst of a base which began in June of this year; it has completed the right side, but did not break out on this report, so is likely to stay in the base for a while longer.

ASPS has been experiencing pretty high  EPS and revenue growth, with only a slight pause in 2012, when it went into a base. It has since broken out and is in the middle of an up move, with  unknown potential. This got very high volume whiel it was building the base, so it looks like it was being accumulated, somehing that does not appear to be happening now.

 CAKE also has a very strong 5 year trend in EPS and revenue growth, and a very strong 5 year up trend in price. It was in he midst of topping out after a prior breakout when it reported, and is now breaking out again. This is pretty extended where it is now, but I doubt we get a better entry point anytime soon.

 CTCT has had a pretty rough couple of years: while EPS growth was slowing, it wasn't bad, but price absolutely collapsed back to the 2009 low. Since this has made a very strong move off the bottom, and this quarter's number may accelerate that.

EXAC has been one of those stocks that just hasn't been bad enough to get kicked off the list, but hasn't been very productive , either. The EPS and revenue growth rates are not bad, but not particularly good, either, and price has pretty much gone nowhere. The pre-crash high in 2008 shows this has some potential, but after 4 years of not living up to it, it might be time to move on.

N has that scary, straight up move that, again, is exaggerated on a linear chart. On a log chart, it has a nearly perfect 45 degree up trend. Revenue growth is very high here, EPS growth less so, and so far it looks like price is following revenue. This is overdue for a base, and we may get one here.

OUTR is the former CSTR. This had relatively lackluster growth, but was considered a market leader on and off for the last 3 years. It has been in a long base, which it failed to break out of on this report. This had a very big leap in EPS: so big, it makes me suspicious something is wrong here. I will double check it and if it is incorrect I will do a corrected versin later this quarter.

PDFS is a very strong up trend in price and growth, and is not yet one of the over hyped stocks getting all the attention  of Wall Street. It has yet to offer a decent entry point, and is overdue for a base, but waiting for either may take longer than I have patience for.

SYNA mad a big move prior to this quarter's report, reported triple digit growth, and promptly collapsed. Short term, this may be setting up a buyong opportunity, but long term, this has not been very consistent.

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